Finally some good news! Inventory of homes for sale shrinking in South Florida.
The number of homes and condominiums for sale across South Florida has steadily declined over the past two years, an encouraging sign for the region’s battered housing market. Broward County had 19,869 properties on the market in July, down 35 percent from July 2008, according to a multiple listing service report compiled by the Keyes Co. Palm Beach County’s inventory of homes and condos slid 31 percent to 23,947 during the same period. The supply of new homes being built in the two counties also has decreased sharply in the past two years, said Brad Hunter of the Metrostudy research firm in Palm Beach Gardens. In 2005, sellers rushed to list their homes, hoping to fetch record prices during the housing boom. But the frenzy led to a collapse and prices plummeted. Thousands of foreclosures and short sales have clogged the market ever since, giving buyers plenty of choices and little reason to pay top dollar. “You won’t get price appreciation until you get the inventory in balance,” said Mike Pappas, president of Keyes. “We’re making great strides.” Declines in homes for sale already have helped stabilize prices recently. The median price in Broward rose 7 percent during April, May and June to $209,800 from a year ago, the Florida Realtors said Wednesday. Palm Beach County’s median increased at the beginning of the year but dipped 2 percent in the second quarter to $235,500. Pappas said his firm is handling fewer transactions involving foreclosed homes, and he thinks that’s an indication the foreclosure market has peaked.
Copyright © 2010 Sun Sentinel, Fort Lauderdale, Fla., Paul Owers. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.
Keller Williams Ranked #1 in Home Buyer Satisfaction!
Satisfaction with national real estate companies among home buyers has improved while satisfaction among home sellers has declined in the last year, according to the J.D. Power and Associates 2010 Home Buyer/Seller Study, released Thursday.
J.D. Powers collected 3,000 evaluations from 2,817 respondents who bought or sold a home between March 2009 and April 2010. Overall satisfaction with the buying experience is determined by rating satisfaction with the practitioner, the office they represent, and a variety of additional services. Four factors are examined for the home-selling experience: the quality of the practitioner’s performance, marketing, the office they represent, and other services.
“Among both home buyers and home sellers, the importance of [practitioners] and salespersons has increased substantially in 2010, compared with 2009,” said Jim Howland, senior director of the real estate and construction practice at J.D. Power, in a statement.
“Buyers are increasingly relying upon negotiating skills of [practitioners] and seem to be satisfied with the purchase prices they are obtaining. Despite the fact that sales practitioners appear to be doing a good job of negotiating and marketing on behalf of home sellers, the tough economic conditions are negatively impacting their overall satisfaction with real estate companies,” Howland added.
On a 1,000-point scale here are the scores in the home buyer segment:
1. Keller Williams, 817
2. Prudential, 811
3. Coldwell Banker, 805
4. Home-Buyer Segment Average, 803
5. RE/MAX, 801
6. Century 21, 798
7. ERA, 785
8. GMAC/Real Living, 765
Satisfaction ratings on a 1,000-point scale from home sellers:
1. Prudential, 760
2. Keller Williams, 751
3. RE/MAX, 744
4. Coldwell Banker, 743
5. Home-Seller Segment Average, 742
6. Century 21, 727
Source: J.D. Power and Associates (07/28/2010)
Shadow inventory may slow housing recovery
The housing market has shown some signs of life recently. Existing home sales are up, prompting some optimism. But at the same time, an untold number of houses that have yet to hit the market are waiting in the wings.
And the bigger that so-called shadow inventory, the further off the housing recovery might be.
‘The Tip Of The Iceberg’
By the official count, about 3.5 million homes are on the market right now. Given the rate of home sales, that’s roughly twice the normal supply.
But “that could just be the tip of the iceberg,” says Stan Humphries, chief economist for the real estate Web site Zillow.
It’s not what is already for sale that worries economists like him; it’s the number of homes that might hit the market in the months to come.
“The portion of the iceberg below the waterline is inventory that’s waiting to come into the market at some point,” Humphries says. “And as it bleeds into the market over time, it continues to put downward pressure on prices.”
Shadow inventory comes in several forms. It includes homes in or close to foreclosure but not yet put up for sale — a number that’s increasing. It also includes homes that owners want to sell but are waiting to put on the market until it improves.
In a recent survey, Zillow found that nearly a third of homeowners would have considered putting their homes up for sale if the market were better. Nationally, that would mean between 11 million and 30 million homes that aren’t listed but are waiting on the sidelines.
Stuck With Unwanted Homes
The would-be sellers include people like Jennifer Dalzell. She and her husband bought a five-bedroom row house just four years ago in the shadow of the nation’s capital. Her husband is in the military, so they move around a lot.
Dalzell says she’s watched the appraised value of their home plummet along with their retirement savings and mutual funds. Her husband will be moving to his new gig in Africa without the family, in part because they don’t want to sell at what she believes is the bottom of the market.
“Because we can wait, we’ll wait until we feel that we can get a better price for the house,” Dalzell says. “I think the market will come back. It feels like there’s money out there, and people are just sort of waiting. And I guess we’re contributing to that waiting game.”
There are no records that quantify how many people like Dalzell there are. In fact, sizing up the shadow inventory is tough.
“Unfortunately, our data are very delayed, and we really don’t have a sense of exactly where we are,” Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said at the National Association of Realtors conference in May.
The key question, Greenspan said, is quantifying how many single-family dwellings are available for sale.
Number Of Foreclosed Homes Unclear
But it’s not clear how many more homes will be heading into foreclosure. If prices keep falling, that number is bound to grow.
Government data released Tuesday showed the number of homes going through the foreclosure process jumped 22 percent during the first quarter. The number of homeowners who are seriously delinquent on their mortgages is also up. Delinquencies are growing the fastest among borrowers who had good credit scores.
And that’s only part of the challenge. As banks take possession of more foreclosed homes, not all of those are listed — sometimes because they are holding back inventory so they don’t flood the market.
“I do know that banks are holding onto inventory, and what they’re doing is they’re metering them out at an appropriate level to what the market will bear,” says Pat Lashinsky, chief executive of online brokerage site ZipRealty.
He says this strategy has paid off for banks — even if it also pushes a full housing recovery further out.
“By not flooding the market, they were getting better pricing on the homes that they owned,” Lashinsky says. “And instead of people coming in and offering less than what the prices were, they were ending up in multiple-offer situations and getting more for the homes.”
Lashinsky adds that a large shadow inventory is not all bad because it creates a kind of buffer. Having so many people hold back prevents a free-fall in home prices. And when the economy recovers, he says, there will be plenty of homes to buy.
Help Haiti
On January 12th, a series of massive earthquakes devastated the small country of Haiti. The amount of people killed, injured, and displaced by the disaster is staggering, and they need our help. With relief efforts underway, many displaced Haitians and their friends and families around the world are deeply concerned about the safety and whereabouts of loved ones.
In response to the Haitian earthquake, a team of Googlers worked with the U.S. Department of State to create an online People Finder gadget so that people can submit information about missing persons and to search the database. Click here to view the database.
Keller Williams Realty Voted #1 Most Recognizable Brand
A just released article by Real Estate Trends names Keller Williams Realty the number one franchise for brand recognition. Here’s some of the article highlights:
Real Estate Franchises: Most Recognizable Brands for 2009
The Top 10 real estate franchises, most recognized by the real estate industry as quality national brands are:
Keller Williams Realty’s surprising #1 ranking was most likely due to the strong, above average online and social media presence of their agents and the fact that during 2009 KW surpassed RE/MAX in agent count according to a widely published REAL Trends survey…
Click here to read the full article on RETrends.com
This Month In Real Estate – December 2009
U.S. regulators close AmTrust and Tattnall banks
Cleveland, Ohio’s Amtrust Bank was seized by regulators Friday, making it the fourth largest institution to go under in 2009. Five smaller institutions – three in Georgia and one each in Illinois and Virginia – were also shuttered over the weekend.
These latest six closings bring the total number of failed banks for the year to 130, and are expected to cost the FDIC’s already-depleted insurance fund a combined $2.4 billion. As DSNews.com previously reported, the agency’s reserve used to protect consumers’ deposits has slipped into the red – $8.2 billion in the hole at the end of the third quarter.
The failure of Amtrust alone will cost the FDIC an estimated $2 billion. Established in 1889 as The Ohio Savings and Loan Company, Amtrust was a nationwide originator of home mortgages and also offered construction and development loans. But according to a statement from its regulator, the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), Amtrust “was in an unsafe and unsound condition because of substantial loan losses, deteriorating asset quality, and insufficient capital.” OTS said a high level of AmTrust’s problem assets was attributable to residential and land acquisition, development, and construction lending concentrated in Florida, California, Arizona, and Nevada.
In an FDIC-assisted transaction, New York Community Bank in Westbury, New York agreed to acquire all of Amtrust’s $8 billion in deposits, wholesale borrowings of approximately $3 billion, and “certain assets,” Community Bank said in a press statement. According to the New York institution, these assets, totaling $11 billion, include performing single-family mortgage and consumer loans of approximately $6 billion which are subject to a loss-share agreement with the FDIC; cash of approximately $4 billion; and securities of approximately $1 billion.
Community Bank, though, was quick to point out that it declined to take on any non-performing loans serviced by AmTrust Bank or any other REOs; construction, land, or development loans; private-label securities, or mortgage servicing rights. The FDIC said it will retain these assets for later disposition.
The FDIC also transferred to New York Community Bank all qualified financial contracts to which AmTrust was a party, and said as part of the overall transaction, Community Bank has issued it a cash participant instrument, which the FDIC has until December 23 to exercise, allowing it to obtain shares of common stock in Community Bank.
Georgia leads the nation with the most bank collapses in 2009. Regulators closed three more institutions in the state on Friday, bringing that total to 24 for the year.
The Buckhead Community Bank in Atlanta, Georgia was acquired by State Bank and Trust Company of Macon, Georgia. The Buckhead Community Bank had six branches in Georgia operating under various names. State Bank also assumed all of the failed institution’s $838 million in deposits and total assets of $874 million. The FDIC estimates the cost to its deposit insurance fund will be $241.4 million.
State Bank and Trust Company also took over the operations of First Security National Bank in Norcross, Georgia. First Security had four branches, deposits of $123 million, and total assets of $128 million. The FDIC said it expects First Security’s failure to cost $30.1 million.
The Tattnall Bank of Reidsville, Georgia was acquired by HeritageBank of the South. in Albany, Georgia. The Tattnall Bank had two branches, $47.3 million in deposits, and total assets of $49.6 million. Its failure is expected to cost the FDIC $13.9 million.
Illinois is second in the nation when it comes to failed banks, with 20 in 2009. Benchmark Bank in Aurora, Illinois is the latest institution to join that list. Chicago’s MB Financial Bank agreed to take over Benchmark’s five branches, its $181 million in deposits, and purchased approximately $139 million of its $170 million in assets. The cost of Benchmark’s collapse is estimated at $64 million.
Greater Atlantic Bank in Reston, Virginia was also closed by the OTS. The FDIC brokered a deal with Sonabank of McLean, Virginia, to acquire the failed institution’s five branches, its $179 million in deposits, and total assets of $203 million. The FDIC expects Greater Atlantic’s closure to cost its insurance fund $35 million.
Info Source: dsnews.com
FHA Loan Limits
FHA Loan Limits As a result of the passage of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, on February 25, 2009, HUD published changes to FHA’s single family loan limits . Given that most of the loan limits decreased for 2009, most areas will revert to the higher 2008 mortgage limit. On October 29, 2009, House and Senate passed legislation to extend the current loan limits for FHA and Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (the government sponsored enterprises, or GSEs) through December 31, 2010. These loan limits, set at 125% of local area median home price and capped at $729,750, would have expired on December 31, 2009 in which case loan limits would have been reduced in many markets.
HERE ARE A FEW LINKS AS A REFRESHER IN FHA FINANCING:
This Month In Real Estate – October 2009
Yes, The Housing Market Has Rarely Looked Better
Passing through the Fort Myers, Fla., airport a few weeks ago, I noticed people eagerly signing up for a free bus tour of foreclosed real estate—with all properties offering water views. During the ride to my hotel, the young driver volunteered that he had just bought his first house, paying $65,000 for a foreclosed property in nearby Cape Coral that last sold for over $250,000. He said he had never expected to be able to buy anything on a driver’s salary, let alone something that nice.
Last week, Standard & Poor’s reported that its S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price index of real-estate values increased this past quarter over the first quarter of 2009, the first quarter-on-quarter increase in three years. Its index of 20 major cities also rose for the three months ended June 30 over the three months ended May 31, with only hard-hit Detroit and Las Vegas experiencing declines. The week before that, the National Association of Realtors reported that sales volume of existing homes was up 7.2% in July from June.
In short, the data suggest that real-estate prices hit a bottom some time during the second quarter, and have now begun to rise. There’s no way to be certain that this marks the end of the long, painful correction that followed the real-estate bubble, but clearly prices are no longer in free-fall. That means if you’ve been sitting on the fence, it’s time to act.
Ordinarily I’d never try to time the real-estate market, but I can understand why buyers have been cautious. Few want to buy in down markets, just as stock buyers avoid bear markets. And for most people, of course, buying a house is a much bigger decision than buying a stock. But with real-estate prices nationally now down about 30% from their 2006 peak and showing signs of turning up, the prices aren’t likely to go much lower. Every real-estate market is local, and so there may be a few exceptions. Overall, though, I can’t imagine a better time to buy than now.
In addition to bargain prices, buyers also should find plenty of homes to choose from. The inventory of unsold homes was 4.09 million units in July, up 7.3% from June, according to the National Association of Realtors. And mortgage rates this week were at a two-month low of close to 5%, according to Zillow. Even the stricter appraisal process is working to the advantage of buyers. Appraisals are coming in far lower than most sellers have been expecting, forcing them to face the new reality of sharply lower prices. And with stricter standards, lenders aren’t going to let buyers borrow more than they can afford, which protects buyers and helps to keep prices down.
Unless you’re really prepared to accept the demands (and headaches) of being a landlord, I don’t recommend direct ownership of real estate as an investment. The days of buyers lining up to flip Miami Beach and Las Vegas condos are mercifully gone.
There are much easier ways to make money in real estate, such as real-estate investment trusts or buying shares in home builders and other housing-related businesses (such as Home Depot). Historically, the mean rate of return on real estate has been around 3%, according to research from Yale economist Robert Shiller, who co-developed the Case-Shiller index. Shares in REITs and other stocks have often done much better.
But there’s a good reason homeownership has been such a central part of the American dream. It delivers security, pride of ownership, a sense of community and decent investment returns as a bonus. I felt glad for my driver in Florida. He represents the other side of the foreclosure crisis. For every hardship story, and no doubt there are many, others are realizing their dreams of home ownership and getting what may well turn out to be the deals of their lives.
Congress clears way to rent foreclosures
Here are two questions getting a lot of attention on Capitol Hill and from the Obama administration: When homeowners lose their houses to foreclosure, should they be able to stay in the property, leasing it at fair market rent from the lender?
Should they also get an option to purchase the house from the bank at the end of the lease term, assuming they have the income to afford it?
Before leaving for their August break, Democrats and Republicans in the House took a rare, unanimous stand on both questions by passing the Neighborhood Preservation Act by voice vote. The bill was co-sponsored by Reps. Gary Miller, R-Diamond Bar (Los Angeles County), and Joe Donnelly, D-Ind. The bill would remove legal impediments blocking federally regulated banks from entering into long-term leases – up to five years – with the former owners of foreclosed houses. It would also allow banks to negotiate option-to-purchase agreements permitting former owners to buy back their houses.
The idea, said Miller, is, “at no cost to the taxpayer,” to “reduce the number of houses coming into the housing inventory and preserve the physical condition of foreclosed properties,” which ultimately should help stabilize values in neighborhoods with large numbers of distressed sales and underwater real estate.
If the bill is approved by the Senate, participation by banks would be purely voluntary. But the legislation might encourage banks to calculate whether they would do better financially taking an immediate loss at foreclosure, or by collecting rents and then selling the property at a higher price in four or five years.
Though it was not opposed by banking lobbies, the bill quickly attracted critics. The Center for Economic and Policy Research, a think tank based in Washington, said a key flaw is to leave decisions about leasebacks solely to banks themselves. “If Congress does want to give homeowners the option to stay in their homes as renters,” said the group, “it will be necessary to pass legislation that explicitly gives them this right.”
Some private-industry proponents of short sales – where the bank negotiates a price that’s typically less than the owners owe on their note – say turning banks into landlords won’t work well, either for the banks or foreclosed owners who want to stay in their houses.
Al Hackman, a San Diego realty broker with extensive experience in commercial transactions, argues that leasebacks with options to buy are the way to go – but not if banks run the show. Hackman and a partner, Troy Huerta, have recently begun putting together what they call “seamless short sales” as alternatives for banks and property owners. Their short sales and leasebacks are “seamless” because the financially distressed homeowners remain in their properties, before and after the settlement.
Here’s how they work:
First, the bank agrees to a short sale to a private investor, just as they often do now. In the seamless version, however, the investor is contractually bound to lease back the house on a “triple net” basis – the tenants pay taxes, insurance and utilities – for two to three years. The former owners only qualify if they have sufficient income to afford a fair market rent and can handle the other expenses, including maintaining the property. The deal comes with a preset buyout price after the leaseback period. That price is higher than the short-sale price paid by the investor, but lower than the original price of the house paid by the foreclosed owners.
Hackman and Huerta already are doing seamless short-sale transactions.
Here is one that Hackman says is moving toward escrow:
A family purchased a house for $725,000 with 20 percent down in 2005, then made substantial improvements with the help of an equity line of $72,500. The house now is valued at about $500,000, but is saddled with $625,000 in mortgage debts. Enter the seamless short sale: Hackman has brought in a private investor who is willing to buy the house at current value, all cash. As part of the deal, the investor has agreed to lease back the house at $25,000 a year, triple net. In three years, assuming they’ve been good tenants, the original owners have the option to buy back the property for $550,000.
Hackman says the internal rate of return to investors can be raised or lowered based on rents and the buyback price, but typically are in the 8 percent to 10 percent range. “It’s a win-win,” he says. “The owners stay in their houses. Private investors get a moderate return on what should be a safe investment.” Plus the banks are out of the equation.
Source: San Francisco Chronicle
New Regulation Z of The Truth in Lending Act
Regulation Z of The Truth in Lending Act (TILA) has undergone important changes that you need to know about when talking to your clients. These changes take effect for all new applications taken on July 30, 2009 and after, apply to ALL types of mortgage loans in ALL 50 states plus the District of Columbia, and could impact the overall timeline of the mortgage loan origination process.
Here are the four key parts of the new regulation you need to know:
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Initial Disclosures. Under the new rules, initial disclosures must be provided to the borrower for all loan types within three (3) business days of when an application is taken or received. Initial disclosures include: the Good Faith Estimate (GFE), Truth in Lending Statement and state-specific disclosures.
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Collection of Up-front Fees. The new regulations prohibit lenders from collecting many up-front fees prior to when the borrower receives the initial disclosures.
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Re-disclosures. If there are changes to a borrower’s loan program, loan terms, and/or Annual Percentage Rate (APR), the initial disclosure package must be re-disclosed to the borrower, and it must be received by the borrower at least three (3) business days prior to closing.
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Timing of Loan Closings. Prospect cannot schedule the loan closing until at least seven (7) business days after the initial disclosures are mailed to the borrower. If re-disclosures are needed because of changes to the loan program, terms or APR, the loan closing cannot be scheduled until at least six (6) business days after the re-disclosures are mailed to the borrower.
When will the housing market rebound?
When will the housing slump finally end? Even the experts’ crystal balls are hazy. The Wall Street Journal, which Thursday reported its latest quarterly survey of housing data, says it depends on which city or part of the country you’re talking about. Home sales were up compared to last year in Washington, D.C., and Northern Virginia, Orlando, Minneapolis, Southern California, and the San Francisco Bay area, according to findings from research firm MDA DataQuick as well as reports from local real estate practitioner organizations. Sales declined in New York City and nearby Long Island, Chicago, and Charlotte, N.C., and the outlook was particularly bleak in Miami-Fort Lauderdale and much of Florida, Detroit, and Las Vegas. But Jody Kahn, an analyst at John Burns Real Estate Consulting, a research organization, points out that there are variations even in the hardest-hit metro areas with the most attractive neighborhoods continuing to thrive. Employment is the most telling factor, says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “If people don’t have jobs or fear losing their jobs, then buying homes is out of the question,” he says.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, James R. Hagerty (07/23/2009)
This Month In Real Estate – July 2009

- July 2009
Tenants in Foreclosed Properties Will Benefit from New Federal Law
On May 20 President Obama signed into law the Helping Families Save Their Homes Act. Understandably, primary attention has been paid to the Act’s provisions that are designed to help distressed homeowners avoid foreclosure. But the Act has other beneficiaries as well. One group that will receive particular assistance from this new law is those people who – often in good faith – are renting a property that goes into foreclosure.
Many times renters of residential properties are caught in the middle of a foreclosure situation. Frequently, they will not be aware of the fact that the owner is delinquent. Their first notice of trouble may be the posting of a sale notice on the property. That may only give them a few weeks warning that something is awry. Moreover, they may not know how this might affect them. In some jurisdictions they may be subject to eviction with little advance warning.
Sections 701 – 704 of the larger bill are cited as the “Protecting Tenants at Foreclosure Act of 2009.” This applies to all federally related loans, which is to say just about every residential loan except seller financing. Section 702 provides that any person or entity who acquires a property through the foreclosure process may give a bona fide tenant not less than a ninety-day notice to vacate the premises. This applies to tenants who are on a periodic tenancy such as the typical month-to-month rental.
If a tenant has a lease that was entered into prior to the notice of foreclosure, then the tenant has the right to occupy the property for the duration of the lease. There is one exception to this. The exception occurs if the foreclosed property is sold to someone who will occupy it as their primary residence. In that case, even if there is a lease, the tenant may be given a ninety-day notice to vacate “effective on the date of sale of the unit to [the owner occupant] purchaser.”
So, if the notice must be at least ninety days, and the termination of the lease is effective the date of sale, that would mean that the notice of termination would be given during the escrow period, not less than ninety days prior to closing. Suppose the escrow “falls out” (e.g. the buyer doesn’t qualify for a loan) during the escrow period. What happens then? The Act is silent on such a possibility, but, presumably, a new ninety-day notice period would be required if there is a subsequent sale to another owner-occupant buyer.
That’s my interpretation. Some bank might have a different one.
The provisions of the Act do not supersede any federal or state subsidized tenancies – or any local provisions – that might provide for even longer notice periods.
For purposes of Section 702, a tenancy is bona fide only if (1) the tenant is not the borrower who has been foreclosed on, (2) the tenancy was created as a result of an “arm’s length” transaction, and (3) the tenancy requires a rental payment that is “not substantially less than fair market rent for the property.”
These provisions are effective immediately and will terminate December 31, 2012.
Source: Bob Hunt
Manhattan Home Prices Plunge
Huge downturn for co-op and condo owners in pricey housing market. Number of sales ticks up as buyers with money take an opportunity.
The housing bust has finally clobbered super-pricey Manhattan home prices.
Reports released Thursday by four major New York brokers show that prices cratered during the three months that ended June 30.
Prices fell between 13% and 19% compared with the same quarter last year. The brokers found median prices that ranged from $795,000 to $849,000.
The decline shows a marked turn from the first quarter of 2009, when the year-over-year change in median home prices ranged from a loss of 2% to a gain of 6%.
Another change in the recent period: More people are buying.
The number of sales picked up by more than 28% in the second quarter, according to Prudential Douglas Elliman.
Driving the increase were sales of studio apartments and one-bedrooms, both of which gained market share, according to Jonathan Miller, president of appraisal company, Miller Samuel, which compiles data for Prudential Douglas Elliman.
“It’s value-based shopping,” said Pam Liebman, chief executive of the brokerage Corcoran Group. “People are coming back into the market, but nobody is going to overpay.”
Of course, in Manhattan “value” means studio prices that go for a median of $400,000 and one-bedrooms that fetch $650,000.



